Let's Call it a Swap

If Curlin goes to France for the Arc, perhaps Epsom Derby winner New Approach can ship to California for the Classic:

The Breeders' Cup Classic will this year be run on a new, synthetic surface at Santa Anita, one far more congenial to European raiders. And with Curlin possibly heading this way, and uncertainty over Big Brown, there is a very tempting vacuum among the home defence.

Intriguing. Get undefeated Zenyatta in the mix too, and this year's Classic might not be the worst since 1984, a possibility Bob Mieszerski fears.

Speaking of Curlin, it looks likely he'll make his first turf start in the G1 Man o' War Stakes at Belmont next week, which is good news for NYRA and us New York racing fans. Anyone want to predict crowd size? I'll go with 10,375 ...

Posted by JC, Jul 5, 2008 10:30 PM

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10,374

Bob Barker influence.

Posted by Ernie, Jul 6, 2008 08:07 AM

The Bob Barker influence should have you guessing 10,376 (one more than the highest bid, not one less). Your other Price Is Right-style option would be something ridiculously small like 1.

Posted by EJXD2, Jul 6, 2008 09:09 AM

Only if the assumption is that the final number will be greater than the first; if smaller, one less gets you quite a bit of coverage.

Posted by Jessica, Jul 6, 2008 10:04 AM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sqk1-q8gXcY

Posted by Ernie, Jul 6, 2008 10:18 AM

Well, just like everything else, it's all a matter of style ... Ernie's guess is taking the "not going over" approach. An excellent Price is Right tactic ... Ernie Munick, COME ON DOWN!!!!

Posted by dana, Jul 6, 2008 11:06 AM

THOSE ARE THE RULES!!!

WITHOUT GOING OVER!!

You do NOT mess with Bob Barker.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oido07Vjki0

Posted by Ernie, Jul 6, 2008 11:12 AM

No, Dana, it's not a matter of style. Ernie's bid is the worst he could possibly make if he thinks Jessica is "over."

Ernie's bid is "bad" because it only gives him one chance to win. If it's less than what he bid then he went over and loses (or at least can't win if everyone else went over too). If it's more than what he bid then Jessica wins no matter what. He needs to hit it on the nose with a bid like that.

I'm always amazed that contestants get on the Price Is Right and don't know these basic strategies, but I guess I see how that's possible now.

Posted by EJXD2, Jul 6, 2008 05:22 PM

Bob Barker will spay or neuter you too, watch out!

Posted by dana, Jul 6, 2008 05:42 PM

Wow. I had no idea Price Is Right was so complicated. I'm going to stick with horseracing and invite you all to do the same ...

Posted by Jessica, Jul 6, 2008 05:50 PM

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